Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 314.478032 357.666264 406.184630 465.030359 534.872057 615.613451 716.738650
2024-12-29 250.527268 306.169633 374.649185 466.316643 587.643747 745.380889 970.460109
2025-01-05 211.575537 270.314337 346.865750 456.105315 611.652607 831.095031 1175.357641
2025-01-12 187.003032 247.472830 329.977422 454.041173 641.871143 926.218524 1411.725046
2025-01-19 162.467913 220.741129 303.050673 431.906732 636.609362 964.555309 1565.124487
2025-01-26 154.159608 215.438383 305.287988 452.296394 698.729578 1119.899726 1957.343711
2025-02-02 148.717463 213.388041 311.614508 479.283589 775.523194 1315.687437 2485.081564
2025-02-09 138.485287 202.809696 303.237129 480.511851 807.273945 1435.709473 2897.890977
2025-02-16 127.099335 189.238555 288.451923 468.487739 812.283311 1504.113115 3218.150705
2025-02-23 117.726551 177.992288 276.244737 459.234792 820.654211 1580.576743 3584.331483
2025-03-02 113.033595 173.913125 275.571867 470.700674 871.662287 1760.116877 4288.713791
2025-03-09 106.939810 166.937349 269.139819 470.348720 897.991375 1889.648188 4910.604027
2025-03-16 99.720794 157.671693 258.148426 460.499788 903.912492 1976.055002 5458.421828
2025-03-23 94.668703 151.783887 252.746267 461.235278 933.959988 2132.553754 6327.366459
2025-03-30 88.703433 143.808134 242.737108 451.202478 937.229815 2219.032957 6999.086461
2025-04-06 84.311211 138.313317 236.881245 449.162748 959.329919 2364.606240 7995.766073
2025-04-13 77.951284 128.811365 222.595609 427.322360 928.756340 2348.554782 8308.926376
2025-04-20 76.914192 129.013646 227.131846 447.441484 1009.055670 2695.838139 10540.158411
2025-04-27 76.541787 130.408448 234.124584 474.066070 1112.615075 3158.977614 13858.465472
2025-05-04 73.604926 126.700876 230.441398 475.277708 1146.102430 3394.302822 16177.383989
2025-05-11 69.653454 120.780985 221.727278 463.415888 1139.765391 3482.420765 17674.587943
2025-05-18 66.241906 115.717361 214.441689 454.287145 1140.172395 3598.410003 19527.608883
2025-05-25 64.848815 114.547845 215.313006 465.599030 1205.480573 4001.967457 24190.790383